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CHAPTER 13 — VARIANCE & STANDARD DEVIATION - Printable Version +- The Lumin Archive (https://theluminarchive.co.uk) +-- Forum: The Lumin Archive — Core Forums (https://theluminarchive.co.uk/forumdisplay.php?fid=3) +--- Forum: Courses — Structured Learning (https://theluminarchive.co.uk/forumdisplay.php?fid=69) +---- Forum: Probability & Statistics: From Intuition to Mastery (https://theluminarchive.co.uk/forumdisplay.php?fid=71) +---- Thread: CHAPTER 13 — VARIANCE & STANDARD DEVIATION (/showthread.php?tid=210) |
CHAPTER 13 — VARIANCE & STANDARD DEVIATION - Leejohnston - 11-15-2025 Chapter 13 — Variance & Standard Deviation Mean, median, and mode tell us the “centre” of the data. But we also need to know: How spread out is the data? Variance and standard deviation measure: • consistency • variability • how much values differ from the mean These ideas are ESSENTIAL for real statistics, science, finance, physics, and data analysis. --- 13.1 What Is Variability? Example: Two students score: Student A: 7, 7, 7, 7 Student B: 3, 7, 11, 7 Both have the SAME mean (7)… …but Student B’s scores are much more spread out. Variance + Standard deviation measure this spread. --- 13.2 Step-by-Step: Variance (σ²) Variance tells us: how far each value is from the mean (on average). To calculate variance: 1. Find the mean 2. Subtract the mean from each value 3. Square each difference 4. Find the average of these squared values Formula (population variance): Variance = average of (value − mean)² --- 13.3 Example — Variance Calculation Data: 4, 6, 8 Step 1 — Mean (4 + 6 + 8) / 3 = 6 Step 2 — Differences from mean 4 − 6 = −2 6 − 6 = 0 8 − 6 = 2 Step 3 — Square differences (−2)² = 4 0² = 0 2² = 4 Step 4 — Average of squared differences Variance = (4 + 0 + 4) / 3 = 8/3 ≈ 2.67 Variance = 2.67 --- 13.4 Standard Deviation (σ) Standard deviation is simply: the square root of the variance Why do we take the square root? Because variance is in “squared units.” Standard deviation gives us a number back in the SAME units as the data. Example continued: Variance ≈ 2.67 Standard deviation = √2.67 ≈ 1.63 Meaning: Most values lie within about 1.63 of the mean. --- 13.5 What Standard Deviation Tells You Small standard deviation → data is tightly packed (balanced, consistent, predictable) Large standard deviation → data is spread out (unstable, unpredictable, more variation) Examples: • Test scores with low SD → students performed similarly • Stock with high SD → risky investment • Machine with low SD → reliable performance --- 13.6 Variance & SD With Frequency Tables Example: Value | Freq 2 | 3 5 | 1 7 | 2 Step 1 — Mean Mean = (2×3 + 5×1 + 7×2) / 6 = (6 + 5 + 14) / 6 = 25 / 6 ≈ 4.17 Step 2 — Differences from mean 2 − 4.17 = −2.17 5 − 4.17 = 0.83 7 − 4.17 = 2.83 Step 3 — Square and multiply by frequency (−2.17)² × 3 (0.83)² × 1 (2.83)² × 2 Step 4 — Total ÷ total frequency gives variance SD = √variance (You don’t need exact decimals for understanding.) --- 13.7 Why Squared Differences? Students always ask this. Reasons: • stops negatives cancelling positives • amplifies large differences (outliers) • creates a smooth mathematical measure • is essential for advanced statistics Variance is the foundation of: • normal distribution • hypothesis testing • Z-scores • confidence intervals • regression • machine learning This is why it matters so much. --- 13.8 A Real-World Example Two sales teams each have a mean of £500 in weekly sales. Team A: 480, 510, 495, 505, 510 Team B: 300, 450, 500, 650, 700 Team A → low SD → reliable and consistent Team B → high SD → unpredictable and unstable Businesses use SD to evaluate: • risk • reliability • staff performance • machine quality • investment behaviour --- 13.9 Exam-Style Questions 1. Find the variance and standard deviation of: 3, 7, 7, 9 2. A frequency table shows: Value | Freq 2 | 2 6 | 1 10 | 1 Find the mean and variance. 3. Explain in words what a high SD means. 4. Two students have the same mean score. Why might one still be considered “more consistent”? 5. A machine produces parts with SD = 0.2 cm. Another produces SD = 0.9 cm. Which is higher quality, and why? --- 13.10 Chapter Summary • Variance measures spread using squared differences • Standard deviation is the square root of the variance • Small SD → consistent • Large SD → variable • Mean alone cannot describe a dataset • These measures are essential for higher statistics --- Written and Compiled by Lee Johnston — Founder of The Lumin Archive |